44:e festivalen 29 jan - 8 feb, 2021
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Nostradamus

Nostradamus is a multiyear international initiative to document and analyse industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!

43:e festivalen
24 Jan -
3 Feb, 2020

Göteborg Film Festival presents the 2021 Nostradamus report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 8th Nostradamus Report – ”Transforming Storytelling Together” – was presented on February 4 at the festival’s annual Nostradamus seminar. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. The 2021 report expects the industry to go through an extensive reality check moving from streaming to reality warfare, and from pandemic to green issues.

 

Johanna Koljonen’s talk with Walter Iuzzolino from TV Drama Vision.

We’re used to one year’s progress being subtle and mild. This year’s rude pandemic awakening has accelerated the structural changes already underway. Johanna Koljonen’s Nostradamus Report 2021 takes a look at the impact five years ahead in terms of collapsing windows and the transformation into a content releasing landscape, shaped in a common effort among virtually every stakeholder in the industry.

In a future perspective, theatrical exhibition will be diminished as a market, but revitalised as a dynamic and influential part of film culture. Five years from now, virtual production will have normalised across the industry, unlocking opportunities and artistic innovation. Other main topics in the report include strong European stories crossing language barriers, and how to keep delivering to the aging traditional audience while appealing to the TikTok generation of viewers and talent.

A special section looks at the European industry in the context of this year’s implementation of the AVMS directive.

”Growth in the TV marketplace will compensate for the challenges in feature distribution. But it’s important not to get complacent! When the whole landscape is shifting at the same time, anyone who isn’t actively innovating may find themselves sidelined.” says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.

This year’s interview subjects were: Alex Stolz/ Founder, Future of Film, and Head of Film, usheru Founder and Head of Film at Future of Film, Ari Tolppanen/ Investor and Chairman at Aristo-Invest, Brian Newman/ Producer, Consultant, Founder at Sub-Genre, Elisa Alvares/ Corporate Finance Consultant, Jacaranda Consultants, Filippa Wallestam/ EVP and Chief Content Officer at NENT Group, Mariana Acuña Acosta/ CPO & Co-founder at Glassbox Technologies, Marike Muselaers/ Co-CEO at Lumiere Group, Roberto Olla/ Executive Director at Eurimages, Walter Iuzzolino/ CEO at Eagle Eye Drama.

In addition, a special update on the progress of the implementation of the AVMS directive has been written (from the report) by Petri Kemppinen, founder P1 Kemppinen.

The 8th Nostradamus report was presented by Johanna Koljonen at the 2021 online edition of Göteborg Film Festival’s Nordic Film Market. The presentation was followed by a conversation with Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst on their upcoming European report on public financing, Public Funding at a Crossroads. The report is a research project from Film i Väst in collaboration with Cine-Regio and Nostradamus.

Nostradamus Report: Transforming Storytelling Together can be downloaded here

The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with Lead Partner Film i Väst and with additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.

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Article: The Pandemic and The Cinema

On June 25 Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, presenting the three parted session ”Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal” hosted by media analyst Johanna Koljonen of the Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus report. In conjuction to tomorrow’s session Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst who […]

Nostradamus at Marché du Film Online 2020

Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, this year exploring how to build a better normal for the industry in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. The session will be presented June 25 in collaboration with Film i Väst and Cannes NEXT Marché […]

Read the summary of the Berlinale seminar "Drowning in Numbers"

Film i Väst’s Berlinale seminar asks how industry stays afloat during ‘global production deluge’ Check out the full summary of the Berlinale seminar by moderator Wendy Mitchell and take part in the report ”Drowning in Numbers” by Olsberg SPI. The unprecedented investment in content production is creating a wealth of new opportunities and challenges across […]

Beyond 50/50: The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion

The presentation of the 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – January 31 at Nordic Film Market was followed by a panel on the future of gender parity. The panel themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” was held in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision. Panel: Iram Haq, […]

Release of the 7th Nostradamus report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented January 31 at a seminar during Nordic Film Market 2020. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. Listen to the presentation at K-play below! The report holds […]

Looking ahead

How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?

The screen media are changing fast.

With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.

The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.

We have published five annual Nostradamus reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here; because of the scope, at least the last two tend to be up-to-date. In addition, we organize international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, Berlinale, too mention a few.

Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Ghent to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 7th annual Nostradamus report ”A Creative Explosion” was released on Jan 31, 2020. Click here to read it! 

The 8th Nostradamus report will be released during Nordic Film Market February 4, 2021. 

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Contact information

Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus editor, johanna.koljonen@participation.design General Informationindustry@goteborgfilmfestival.se

Presentation of the 6th Nostradamus report

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Panel: Relevance in a New Reality

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Nostradamus at Audiovisual Days

Nostradamus på Audiovisual Days 18 oktober Den 18 oktober bjuder Göteborg Film Festival på en fullspäckad förmiddag under årets upplaga av Lindholmen Science Parks Audiovisual Days. En försmak av årets festivalupplaga, Johanna Koljonen presenterar en uppdaterad key-note av den femte Nostradamus-rapporten följt av ett samtal där vår expertpanel ger sin syn på framtiden för TV […]

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018 What’s the next vision for European cinema? How can Blockchain technology change the industry across the value chain? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on May 11!  Do or Die – a Moment of Truth for European Film 10.00 – 10.45 NEXT conference room – Palais des festivals. A […]

Do or Die? 5th Nostradamus Report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented February 2, 2018. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. Johanna Koljonen presented the […]

"A Creative Explosion" – Nostradamus at EFM Horizon

In a high-energy session, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus will make a guest performance at EFM Horizon, European Film Market’s hub dedicated to the transformation of the film and media sectors. In a presentation of the newly released 7th report ”A Creative Explosion”, media analyst and writer Johanna Koljonen offers a deep but high-paced look into […]

Berlin seminar: Drowning in numbers

Drowning in numbers – or how to stay afloat in the current global production deluge Against a backdrop of the most current facts and figures of the changing film and TV landscape, Film i Väst, in cooperation with the Nostradamus project, presents a future-oriented seminar with key experts from the industry. 
There is currently an […]

Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50

Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50 The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion January 31 the 7th Nostradamus report from Göteborg Film Festival will be presented by media analyst and author Johanna Koljonen, followed by a panel focusing on the future of gender parity, diversity and inclusion. Numerous programmes championing and debating gender equality, diversity and […]

Nostradamus returns to Marché du Film's NEXT

Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returns to Cannes, bringing news and insights on the near future of the screen industries. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents an updated version of the 2019 report ”Relevance in a New Reality” and host a visionary on-stage interview with MUBI’s Efe Cakarel. This years the Nostradamus sessions are presented for […]

2019 Nostradamus report - our annual look towards the future

The publicly funded arts are in peril, a handful of streaming behemoths will dominate home entertainment, and cinemas reorient themselves – it’s time to reboot the industry conversation. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents the 6th annual report of the Nostradamus Project, which monitors and analyses the rapid changes in the screen industries. The presentation is […]

2016 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2016  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer International […]

2015 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2015  The 2015 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 29th, 2015. For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Jakob Abrahamsson, […]

2014 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2014 The 2014 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and Nordisk Film och TV Fond and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 31st, 2014. Thought leaders interviewed for the first report included: Malte Andreasson, United Screens; Cecilia […]

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