Nostradamus is a multiyear international initiative to document and analyse industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!
How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?
The screen media are changing fast.
With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.
The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.
We have published eight annual Nostradamus Reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here. In addition, we organize international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, Berlinale, too mention a few.
Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Ghent to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance, the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 9th annual Nostradamus Report ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry” was released on 23 May 2022. Click here to read it!
Author and media analyst: Johanna Koljonen
Editorial team: Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård, Johanna Koljonen
Editorial advisors: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson
The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with Lead Partner Film i Väst and with additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.
Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus author, johanna.koljonen@participation.design
General Information: industry@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Göteborg Film Festival’s 9th Nostradamus Report, ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry”, was presented today May 23 at the Marché du Film in Cannes. The annual report looks into the near future of the audiovisual industries through research and interviews with industry experts.
Rewatch the presentation and panel here
How can we build a long-term sustainable industry, taking into consideration financial, social as well as environmental perspectives? How do we create qualitative content that is relevant for broad audiences while also guaranteeing durable artistic and independent structures? What would it take to get there?
This year’s Nostradamus Report paints a picture of the current industry landscape and its challenges, outlining a set of directions on where we could be heading, as an industry but also as a society.
In the 2022 report we have a particular spotlight on Europe. As the global streaming giants are settling their positions, the unprecedented growth in production and capital has strongly challenged the European models across the board. The future role of public audiovisual investments and the independence of the European sector is under development, while also facing an increased volatility in the global economy and a geopolitical crisis in Europe.
The report also highlights the urgent issue of industry health, and discusses how transforming working conditions across the industry should offer financial, artistic, and efficiency benefits directly.
”Our track record has always been surprisingly good, but in this ninth year of the report, the uncertain political and economic situations have finally made firm predictions impossible. Instead the report identifies tensions and pivot points where the outcomes will be determined in the next few years through choices made by stakeholders all across the value chain. We all have an opportunity now to truly affect which future we want for the industry”, says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.
The 2022 Nostradamus Report is built around interviews with the following experts:
Bero Beyer, CEO of the Netherlands Film Fund.
Christian Bräuer, Managing Director Yorck Kino Gruppe, and President of CICAE, the International Confederation of Arthouse Cinemas.
Michael Gubbins, Consultant and journalist, SampoMedia Johannes Jensen, Head of Scripted, Banijay Nordic.
Julie-Jeanne Régnault, Secretary-General of European Film Agency Directors Association (EFAD).
Evan Shapiro, Producer, Media Studies professor at NYU and Fordham U, and unofficial cartographer of the Media Universe. Josefine Tengblad, Founder and producer, Nordic Drama Queens.
Kjartan Þór Þórðarson, CEO and executive producer, Sagafilm Nordic.
We are very proud to announce the nine interviews that form the base of the 8th annual Nostradamus report, including Filippa Wallestam (EVP and Chief Content Officer at NENT Group), Roberto Olla (Executive Director of Eurimages) and Mariana Acuña Acosta (CPO & Co-founder at Glassbox Technologies). The annual international Nostradamus report looks into the future […]
Nostradamus Academy is Göteborg Film Festival’s new training programme for Swedish speaking film industry professionals. The course offers high-end curated content over three sessions that give new knowledge of industry changes and practical tools to build long-term sustainability. The programme is mainly targeting Western Swedish professionals but are also open to Swedish speaking industry from […]
Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal On June 25, 2020, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returned to Cannes NEXT at the Marché du Film Online in a dynamic session on the near future of the industry in the light of the COVID-19 crisis. In an ambitious three-part seminar broadcast from Göteborg’s […]
On June 25 Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, presenting the three parted session ”Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal” hosted by media analyst Johanna Koljonen of the Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus report. In conjuction to tomorrow’s session Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst who […]
Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, this year exploring how to build a better normal for the industry in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. The session will be presented June 25 in collaboration with Film i Väst and Cannes NEXT Marché […]
Re-experience Nostradamus future oriented AI session at Audiovisual Days November 14 2019 in Göteborg. Johanna Koljonen the analyst and writer of the Nostradamus reports gave an updated key-note of the sixth report ”Relevance in a New Reality” followed by an expert panel on AI with Michiel Ruelens, CTO at Scriptbook, that has developed an AI […]
The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]
The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]
Nostradamus på Audiovisual Days 18 oktober Den 18 oktober bjuder Göteborg Film Festival på en fullspäckad förmiddag under årets upplaga av Lindholmen Science Parks Audiovisual Days. En försmak av årets festivalupplaga, Johanna Koljonen presenterar en uppdaterad key-note av den femte Nostradamus-rapporten följt av ett samtal där vår expertpanel ger sin syn på framtiden för TV […]
Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018 What’s the next vision for European cinema? How can Blockchain technology change the industry across the value chain? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on May 11! Do or Die – a Moment of Truth for European Film 10.00 – 10.45 NEXT conference room – Palais des festivals. A […]
Film i Väst’s Berlinale seminar asks how industry stays afloat during ‘global production deluge’ Check out the full summary of the Berlinale seminar by moderator Wendy Mitchell and take part in the report ”Drowning in Numbers” by Olsberg SPI. The unprecedented investment in content production is creating a wealth of new opportunities and challenges across […]
In a high-energy session, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus will make a guest performance at EFM Horizon, European Film Market’s hub dedicated to the transformation of the film and media sectors. In a presentation of the newly released 7th report ”A Creative Explosion”, media analyst and writer Johanna Koljonen offers a deep but high-paced look into […]
Drowning in numbers – or how to stay afloat in the current global production deluge Against a backdrop of the most current facts and figures of the changing film and TV landscape, Film i Väst, in cooperation with the Nostradamus project, presents a future-oriented seminar with key experts from the industry. There is currently an […]
Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50 The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion January 31 the 7th Nostradamus report from Göteborg Film Festival will be presented by media analyst and author Johanna Koljonen, followed by a panel focusing on the future of gender parity, diversity and inclusion. Numerous programmes championing and debating gender equality, diversity and […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returns to Cannes, bringing news and insights on the near future of the screen industries. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents an updated version of the 2019 report ”Relevance in a New Reality” and host a visionary on-stage interview with MUBI’s Efe Cakarel. This years the Nostradamus sessions are presented for […]
Download the Nostradamus report 2017 For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, who have given very generously of their time and thoughts: Bobby Allen, VP of Content, MUBI; Catharine Des Forges, Director, Independent Cinema Office; Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, FilmVäst; Domenico La Porta, Director, R/O Institute; Joëlle Levie, Director of Operations, […]
Download the Nostradamus report 2016 For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer International […]
Download the Nostradamus report 2015 The 2015 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 29th, 2015. For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Jakob Abrahamsson, […]
Download the Nostradamus report 2014 The 2014 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and Nordisk Film och TV Fond and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 31st, 2014. Thought leaders interviewed for the first report included: Malte Andreasson, United Screens; Cecilia […]
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