The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the industry will next need to address the more complex pipeline problems affecting diverse recruitment.
Other themes discussed in the report are the consequences of the escalating streaming wars, alternative release patterns taking shape, and how the capacity issues caused by extreme demand on scripted content threaten quality. Streamers are also putting pressure on the traditional role of the producer, which may challenge cultural diversity down the line, especially as consolidations continue. Access to data analysis will be of increasing importance across roles in the industry.
Finally, the report discusses how emerging technologies – VR, deep fakes, game engines, etc – is causing fundamental changes in how audiovisual storytelling is produced and understood, with inevitable ripple effects on how audiences perceive the formats and platforms of film and TV as well.
The annual report is written by media analyst Johanna Koljonen.
The 2020 Nostradamus report interviewees are:
Lars Blomgren, Executive Producer and Head of Scripted EMEA, Endemol Shine Group
Anna Croneman, Head of Drama, SVT
Leon Forde, Managing Director, Olsberg SPI
Stine Helgeland, Head of Department Communications, Strategic Insight and International Relations, Norwegian Film Institute
Philip Knatchbull, CEO, Curzon Cinemas
Alexandra Lebret, Managing Director, European Producer’s Club
Fabio Lima, Founder & CEO, Sofa Digital
Alex Mahon, CEO, Channel 4
Susanna Snell, Head of Audience Insight, YLE
Bérénice Vincent, Co-founder Collectif 50/50 and sales agent, Totem Film
Editorial team: Johanna Koljonen, Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård
Editorial Advisory Board: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson
The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with the project’s new main contributor Film i Väst. With additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.