41:a festivalen 26 jan - 5 feb, 2018
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Nostradamus

Gathers analysis from the best minds in the fast changing film industries - sketching out out future 3-5 years from now

41:a festivalen
26 Jan -
5 Feb, 2018

Looking ahead

How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?

The screen media are changing fast. With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.

The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.

We have published four annual Nostradamus reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here; because of the scope, at least the last two tend to be up-to-date.

In addition, we organise international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, and with a more Nordic focus during Västsvenska Filmdagarna. Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Berlin to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN.

The fifth annual Nostradamus report will be released on Feb 2, 2018.

Project presented by

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Contact information

Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se

Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus editor, johanna.koljonen@participation.design

General Informationindustry@goteborgfilmfestival.se

Digitisation of Cinemas Leads to Content Diversity – and More Audience Work

By Johanna Koljonen On Sunday, August 20th, the Norwegian International Film Festival in Haugesund hosted a seminar on the topic “Narrow Diversity” – exploring whether content in cinemas has diversified in the wake of digitisation. The event was presented in collaboration with the Centre for the Creative Industries at the BI Norwegian Business School. Norway […]

Bodies, Spaces & Communities: Experience Design for Cinemas (& VR)

On November 29th in Glasgow, Johanna Koljonen gave a keynote speech at the UK film exhibition innovation conference This Way Up. The conference provided two excellent days of interesting input for the upcoming Nostradamus report; you can find a very good writeup at the BFI and a shorter piece focusing on pricing and VR at […]

DAY-AND-DATE REVISITED

We had expected 2015 to push the day-and-date discussion further, but not that the two big discussion pieces would be Netflix and Amazon originals. In October, Netflix released Beasts of No Nation in US theatres, and at Curzon cinemas in the UK. At the same time they made it available to their subscribers globally free of charge. Since this violated the […]

SWEDEN – AN ONLINE TORTUGA

PIRACY SURGING, NORMALIZED IN NORDIC MARKET KLAS PALMQVIST IS A KEY PLAYER IN THE ANTI-PIRACY EFFORTS OF SWEDISH INDUSTRY ASSOCIATION SVERIGES VIDEODISTRIBUTÖRERS FÖRENING. AT THE NOSTRADAMUS PROJECT’S SWEDISH SEMINAR IN OCTOBER, 2015, HE PRESENTED RECENT STATISTICS ON PIRACY IN THE NORDIC COUNTRIES. SEE THE FULL PRESENTATION IN SWEDISH, OR READ AN ENGLISH SUMMARY BELOW. Swedish […]

Nostradamus report 2017: A Sustainable Production Landscape?

New Directions for Content

This discussion from the February 2017 International Seminar delves into how the structural changes of the screen industries will impact the creative output. Participants: Roberto Olla, Executive Director, Eurimages; Rikke Ennis, CEO TrustNordisk; Mattias Nohrborg, Executive Producer B-Reel Films; and Charlotte Sieling, director.

JOHANNA KOLJONEN: A CREATIVE RENAISSANCE IN FILM

The editor of the Nostradamus Project, media analyst Johanna Koljonen, gives an updated version of her much-appreciated lecture at the Marché du Film. After a decade of changes, challenges and trends rocking the industry, what everyone working in film needs to do next can be boiled down to five very simple pieces of advice. Liberated […]

STORYTELLING IN IMMERSIVE ENVIRONMENTS

As predicted by the Nostradamus Project, we have seen a radical growth of VR storytelling in the last year, and a continuing normalisation of multi-platform narratives in mainstream entertainment. What are the challenges and storytelling opportunities offered for the film industry by these changes? Games and storytelling innovator Carl Heath and scriptwriting legend Linda Aronson […]

The Future is Now: Next Steps from Film Art & Screen Industries

MAY 21, FESTIVAL DE CANNES 2017 – What’s changing in funding and sales of European and art house cinema? How does VR fit into this emerging digital landscape? What is the role of theatrical distribution when most films will never reach the silver screen and the window system is changing? Lively analysis and knowledgeable debate […]

New Opportunities & a Positive Ripple Effect

Västsvenska Filmdagarna is an increasingly important meeting place for the Swedish industry focusing on the west coast. At this year’s event, the Nostradamus Project is hosting a session on October 12th at 10.45-12.30. First Johanna Koljonen will present the updated findings from the latest Nostradamus Report. What is happening in the film industry? How is […]

2017 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2017  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, who have given very generously of their time and thoughts: Bobby Allen, VP of Content, MUBI; Catharine Des Forges, Director, Independent Cinema Office; Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, FilmVäst; Domenico La Porta, Director, R/O Institute; Joëlle Levie, Director of Operations, […]

2016 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2016  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer International […]

2015 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2015  The 2015 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 29th, 2015. For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Jakob Abrahamsson, […]

2014 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2014 The 2014 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and Nordisk Film och TV Fond and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 31st, 2014. Thought leaders interviewed for the first report included: Malte Andreasson, United Screens; Cecilia […]

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