Nostradamus is a multiyear international initiative to document and analyse industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!
How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?
The screen media are changing fast.
With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.
The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.
We have published eight annual Nostradamus Reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here. In addition, we organize international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, Berlinale, too mention a few.
Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Ghent to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance, the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 9th annual Nostradamus Report ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry” was released on 23 May 2022. Click here to read it!
Author and media analyst: Johanna Koljonen
Editorial team: Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård, Johanna Koljonen
Editorial advisors: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson
The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with Lead Partner Film i Väst and with additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.
Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus author, johanna.koljonen@participation.design
General Information: industry@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Göteborg Film Festival’s 9th Nostradamus Report, ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry”, was presented today May 23 at the Marché du Film in Cannes. The annual report looks into the near future of the audiovisual industries through research and interviews with industry experts.
Rewatch the presentation and panel here
How can we build a long-term sustainable industry, taking into consideration financial, social as well as environmental perspectives? How do we create qualitative content that is relevant for broad audiences while also guaranteeing durable artistic and independent structures? What would it take to get there?
This year’s Nostradamus Report paints a picture of the current industry landscape and its challenges, outlining a set of directions on where we could be heading, as an industry but also as a society.
In the 2022 report we have a particular spotlight on Europe. As the global streaming giants are settling their positions, the unprecedented growth in production and capital has strongly challenged the European models across the board. The future role of public audiovisual investments and the independence of the European sector is under development, while also facing an increased volatility in the global economy and a geopolitical crisis in Europe.
The report also highlights the urgent issue of industry health, and discusses how transforming working conditions across the industry should offer financial, artistic, and efficiency benefits directly.
”Our track record has always been surprisingly good, but in this ninth year of the report, the uncertain political and economic situations have finally made firm predictions impossible. Instead the report identifies tensions and pivot points where the outcomes will be determined in the next few years through choices made by stakeholders all across the value chain. We all have an opportunity now to truly affect which future we want for the industry”, says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.
The 2022 Nostradamus Report is built around interviews with the following experts:
Bero Beyer, CEO of the Netherlands Film Fund.
Christian Bräuer, Managing Director Yorck Kino Gruppe, and President of CICAE, the International Confederation of Arthouse Cinemas.
Michael Gubbins, Consultant and journalist, SampoMedia Johannes Jensen, Head of Scripted, Banijay Nordic.
Julie-Jeanne Régnault, Secretary-General of European Film Agency Directors Association (EFAD).
Evan Shapiro, Producer, Media Studies professor at NYU and Fordham U, and unofficial cartographer of the Media Universe. Josefine Tengblad, Founder and producer, Nordic Drama Queens.
Kjartan Þór Þórðarson, CEO and executive producer, Sagafilm Nordic.
Göteborg Film Festival’s 9th Nostradamus Report, ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry”, was presented May 23 at the Marché du Film in Cannes. The annual report looks into the near future of the audiovisual industries through research and interviews with industry experts. How can we build a long-term sustainable industry, taking into consideration financial, social as well […]
How will it be working five years from now? How do we fund arthouse storytelling when all the windows are changing? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on July 7 and July 9! Nostradamus Report 2021: Transforming Storytelling Together 10:00 Palais Stage (Palais -1) and online, July 7 In an engaging talk, industry analyst […]
Meet media analyst Johanna Koljonen in a vibrant session presenting the conclusions of the 8th Nostradamus report followed by a conversation with producer John Giwa-Amu. Newly released 8th Nostradamus report ”Transforming Storytelling” looks into the post-pandemic landscape and argues that the next few years present an unprecedented opportunity: not just the global players, but all […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s 8th Nostradamus Report – ”Transforming Storytelling Together” – was presented today at the festival’s annual Nostradamus seminar. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. The 2021 report expects the industry to go through an extensive reality check […]
The 2022 Nostradamus Report ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry” was released at Marche du Film on May 23. The report examines possible paths for a long-term sustainable industry in a time of great change. How can we build a resilient industry that makes qualitative relevant content for audiences while also guaranteeing long-term artistic and independent structures? […]
The 8th Nostradamus report was presented by Johanna Koljonen at the 2021 online edition of Göteborg Film Festival’s Nordic Film Market. The presentation was followed by a conversation with Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst on their upcoming European report on public financing, Public Funding at a Crossroads. The report is […]
Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal On June 25, 2020, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returned to Cannes NEXT at the Marché du Film Online in a dynamic session on the near future of the industry in the light of the COVID-19 crisis. In an ambitious three-part seminar broadcast from Göteborg’s […]
The presentation of the 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – January 31 at Nordic Film Market was followed by a panel on the future of gender parity. The panel themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” was held in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision. Panel: Iram Haq, […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented January 31 at a seminar during Nordic Film Market 2020. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. Listen to the presentation at K-play below! The report holds […]
The 2022 Nostradamus Report ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry” was released at Marche du Film on May 23. The report examines possible paths for a long-term sustainable industry in a time of great change. How can we build a resilient industry that makes qualitative relevant content for audiences while also guaranteeing long-term artistic and independent structures? […]
Meet media analyst Johanna Koljonen in a vibrant session presenting the conclusions of the 8th Nostradamus report followed by a conversation with producer John Giwa-Amu. Newly released 8th Nostradamus report ”Transforming Storytelling” looks into the post-pandemic landscape and argues that the next few years present an unprecedented opportunity: not just the global players, but all […]
The 8th Nostradamus report was presented by Johanna Koljonen at the 2021 online edition of Göteborg Film Festival’s Nordic Film Market. The presentation was followed by a conversation with Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst on their upcoming European report on public financing, Public Funding at a Crossroads. The report is […]
Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal On June 25, 2020, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returned to Cannes NEXT at the Marché du Film Online in a dynamic session on the near future of the industry in the light of the COVID-19 crisis. In an ambitious three-part seminar broadcast from Göteborg’s […]
Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, this year exploring how to build a better normal for the industry in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. The session will be presented June 25 in collaboration with Film i Väst and Cannes NEXT Marché […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s 9th Nostradamus Report, ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry”, was presented May 23 at the Marché du Film in Cannes. The annual report looks into the near future of the audiovisual industries through research and interviews with industry experts. How can we build a long-term sustainable industry, taking into consideration financial, social as well […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s 8th Nostradamus Report – ”Transforming Storytelling Together” – was presented today at the festival’s annual Nostradamus seminar. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. The 2021 report expects the industry to go through an extensive reality check […]
Nostradamus Report: A Creative Explosion can be downloaded here The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the […]
The 2019 Nostradamus report, ”Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges. Read the Nostradamus report 2019 here […]
During Göteborg Film Festival 2018 the 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. The Nostradamus Project […]
Stäng