46:e festivalen 27 jan - 5 feb, 2023
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  1. 2022 Nostradamus Report – Imagining a Sustainable Industry

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    The 2022 Nostradamus Report ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry” examines possible paths for a long-term sustainable industry in a time of great change. How can we build a resilient industry that makes qualitative relevant content for audiences while also guaranteeing long-term artistic and independent structures?

    Download the report 2022.

    The 2022 Nostradamus Report is built around interviews with the following experts:

    Bero Beyer, CEO of the Netherlands Film Fund.
    Christian Bräuer, Managing Director Yorck Kino Gruppe, and President of CICAE, the International Confederation of Arthouse Cinemas.
    Michael Gubbins, Consultant and journalist, SampoMedia Johannes Jensen, Head of Scripted, Banijay Nordic.
    Julie-Jeanne Régnault, Secretary-General of European Film Agency Directors Association (EFAD).
    Evan Shapiro, Producer, Media Studies professor at NYU and Fordham U, and unofficial cartographer of the Media Universe. Josefine Tengblad, Founder and producer, Nordic Drama Queens. Kjartan Þór Þórðarson, CEO and executive producer, Sagafilm Nordic.

  2. 2021 Nostradamus report

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    Göteborg Film Festival’s 8th Nostradamus Report – ”Transforming Storytelling Together” – was presented today at the festival’s annual Nostradamus seminar. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. The 2021 report expects the industry to go through an extensive reality check moving from streaming to reality warfare, and from pandemic to green issues.

    Nostradamus Report: “Transforming Storytelling Together” can be downloaded here

    We’re used to one year’s progress being subtle and mild. This year’s rude pandemic awakening has accelerated the structural changes already underway. Johanna Koljonen’s Nostradamus Report 2021 takes a look at the impact five years ahead in terms of collapsing windows and the transformation into a content releasing landscape, shaped in a common effort among virtually every stakeholder in the industry.

    In a future perspective, theatrical exhibition will be diminished as a market, but revitalised as a dynamic and influential part of film culture. Five years from now, virtual production will have normalised across the industry, unlocking opportunities and artistic innovation. Other main topics in the report include strong European stories crossing language barriers, and how to keep delivering to the aging traditional audience while appealing to the TikTok generation of viewers and talent.

    A special section looks at the European industry in the context of this year’s implementation of the AVMS directive.

    “Growth in the TV marketplace will compensate for the challenges in feature distribution. But it’s important not to get complacent! When the whole landscape is shifting at the same time, anyone who isn’t actively innovating may find themselves sidelined.” says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.

    This year’s interview subjects were: Alex Stolz/ Founder, Future of Film, and Head of Film, usheru Founder and Head of Film at Future of Film, Ari Tolppanen/ Investor and Chairman at Aristo-Invest, Brian Newman/ Producer, Consultant, Founder at Sub-Genre, Elisa Alvares/ Corporate Finance Consultant, Jacaranda Consultants, Filippa Wallestam/ EVP and Chief Content Officer at NENT Group, Mariana Acuña Acosta/ CPO & Co-founder at Glassbox Technologies, Marike Muselaers/ Co-CEO at Lumiere Group, Roberto Olla/ Executive Director at Eurimages, Walter Iuzzolino/ CEO at Eagle Eye Drama.

    In addition, a special update on the progress of the implementation of the AVMS directive has been written (from the report) by Petri Kemppinen, founder P1 Kemppinen.

    The 8th Nostradamus report was presented by Johanna Koljonen at the 2021 online edition of Göteborg Film Festival’s Nordic Film Market. The presentation was followed by a conversation with Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst on their upcoming European report on public financing, Public Funding at a Crossroads. The report is a research project from Film i Väst in collaboration with Cine-Regio and Nostradamus.

    Nostradamus Report: “Transforming Storytelling Together” can be downloaded here

    Author and media analyst: Johanna Koljonen

    Editorial team: Johanna Koljonen, Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård

    Editorial Advisory Board: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson

    The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with Lead Partner Film i Väst and with additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.

  3. 2020 Nostradamus report

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    Nostradamus Report: A Creative Explosion can be downloaded here  

    The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the industry will next need to address the more complex pipeline problems affecting diverse recruitment.

    Other themes discussed in the report are the consequences of the escalating streaming wars, alternative release patterns taking shape, and how the capacity issues caused by extreme demand on scripted content threaten quality. Streamers are also putting pressure on the traditional role of the producer, which may challenge cultural diversity down the line, especially as consolidations continue. Access to data analysis will be of increasing importance across roles in the industry.

    Finally, the report discusses how emerging technologies – VR, deep fakes, game engines, etc – is causing fundamental changes in how audiovisual storytelling is produced and understood, with inevitable ripple effects on how audiences perceive the formats and platforms of film and TV as well.

    The annual report is written by media analyst Johanna Koljonen.

    The 2020 Nostradamus report interviewees are:

    Lars Blomgren, Executive Producer and Head of Scripted EMEA, Endemol Shine Group
    Anna Croneman, Head of Drama, SVT
    Leon Forde, Managing Director, Olsberg SPI
    Stine Helgeland, Head of Department Communications, Strategic Insight and International Relations, Norwegian Film Institute
    Philip Knatchbull, CEO, Curzon Cinemas
    Alexandra Lebret, Managing Director, European Producer’s Club
    Fabio Lima, Founder & CEO, Sofa Digital
    Alex Mahon, CEO, Channel 4
    Susanna Snell, Head of Audience Insight, YLE
    Bérénice Vincent, Co-founder Collectif 50/50 and sales agent, Totem Film

    Editorial team: Johanna Koljonen, Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård

    Editorial Advisory Board: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson

    The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with the project’s new main contributor Film i Väst. With additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.

  4. 2019 Nostradamus report

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    The 2019 Nostradamus report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges.

    Read the Nostradamus report 2019 here

    Johanna Koljonen, author of the report, said:
    “We’ve talked about ‘structural change’ for a while now. In the next three to five years, a sector where we will see what the new structures look like in practice is the streaming market. It will be dominated by a handful of tech companies and consolidated majors and how this affects smaller languages and local players is not certain. The big players keeping their content exclusive to themselves might create new opportunities for others. But the question everyone will have to find answers to is how do you compete when there is always competition that can outrun you, outspend you, and produces content of a very high quality? Only with relevance.”

    “Unprompted, all of the interviewees in this year’s report raised questions of meaning, values, purpose or sustainability. We’re moving towards a time

    when public funding is more important than ever, but also likely to decrease. The European industry will need to find ways to prioritise, and get better at communicating to lawmakers and citizens why what we do is vital.” says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.

    This year’s interview subjects were: Efe Cakarel/ Founder and CEO MUBI, Thomas Gammeltoft/ CEO Copenhagen Film Fund, Ani Korpela/

    Director and Head of Content and Application Business Elisa, Ben Luxford/ Head of Audience BFI, Glenn O’Farrell/ CEO GroupeMédia TFO, Liz Rosenthal/ Programmer Venice VR and Founder of Power to the Pixel, Sten Saluveer/ Founder and CEO Storytek, Åsa Sjöberg/ Director of Content Bonnier Broadcasting, Maria Tanjala/ Co-Founder Big Couch and Film Chain

    Nostradamus is presented by Göteborg Film Festival in collaboration with Lindholmen Science Park with additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe, Kulturakademin.

     

     

  5. 2018 Nostradamus Report

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    During Göteborg Film Festival 2018 the 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force.

    The Nostradamus Project is run by Göteborg Film Festival and aims to sketch out the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now, through interviews with industry experts and research. The annual report is written by Johanna Koljonen.

    Interviewed in this year’s report are: Nadira Azermai, CEO, ScriptBook; Walter Iuzzolino, Co-founder, Walter PresentsIvar Køhn, Head of Drama, NRK; Claus Ladegaard, CEO, Danish Film Institute; Marike Muselaers, Co-CEO, Lumière Group; Marie Nilsson, CEO, Mediavision; Edith Sepp, CEO, Estonian Film Institute and Patrick von Sychowski, editor, Celluloid Junkie.

    Johanna Koljonen, writer of the Nostradamus Report, said:
    – This year’s title reflects this thrilling moment of risk and opportunity faced by the film industry in particular. Cinemas are doing well, but their cultural role is shifting, and a majority of films are consumed in the home as they have been for decades. But now those later windows are all changing, technologically and more importantly in audience behavior. Monetising audience attention in the value chain, reaching especially the younger audiences who don’t respond to advertising, and remaining relevant in the content all requires shifts in attitudes and business models. That has to happen now, and especially European filmmaking with its slow-moving structures really needs to become proactive to stay connected to the audiences.

    – We also take a follow-up look on gender equality in front of and behind the cinema as well as in executive positions in the industry. This connects to the more structural issues in that very homogenous leadership is less likely to have a broad understanding of changes out in the world.

    Nostradamus is presented by Göteborg Film Festival in collaboration with Lindholmen Science Park.

    Download the Nostradamus report 2018 

     

     

     

     

  6. 2017 Nostradamus Report

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    Download the Nostradamus report 2017 

    For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, who have given very generously of their time and thoughts:

    Bobby Allen, VP of Content, MUBI; Catharine Des Forges, Director, Independent Cinema Office; Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, FilmVäst; Domenico La Porta, Director, R/O Institute; Joëlle Levie, Director of Operations, Olffi; Fredrik af Malmborg, Managing Director, Eccho Rights; Roberto Olla, Executive Director, Eurimages

    In addition, we owe a debt of gratitude to the following thought leaders and experts for their time and help:

    Linda Aronson; Julie Bergeron, Marché du Film; Lene Borglum, Space Rocket Nation; Martin Dawson, Creative Europe MEDIA programme; Åsa Garnert: Anna Godas, Dogwoof: Mike Goodridge, Protagonist Pictures; Annika Gustafsson, Boost Hbg; Carl Heath, RISE ICT; Anna Higgs, Nowness; Justine Powell, iROKO Global; Sambrooke Scott, Film Hub Scotland; Dawn Walton, Eclipse Theatre Company; Matthijs Wouter Knol, European Film Market.

    The Nostradamus Project is a joint initiative from Göteborg Film Festival/Nordic Film Market and Lindholmen Science Park.

  7. 2016 Nostradamus Report

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    Download the Nostradamus report 2016 

    For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts:

    Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer

    International Drama, YLE, and Head of European Fiction, EBU), Peter Gerard (Director of VOD, VIMEO), Tine Klint, (CEO,

    LevelK ApS Film Sales) and Matthijs Wouter Knol (Director, European Film Market).

    At the accompanying seminar, Matthijs Wouter Knol and Julie Bergeron are joined in discussing the questions further by Justine Powell (iROKO Global) and Anna Higgs (Nowness).

    The Nostradamus Project is a joint initiative from Göteborg Film Festival/Nordic Film Market and Lindholmen Science Park.

  8. 2015 Nostradamus Report

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    Download the Nostradamus report 2015 

    The 2015 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 29th, 2015.

    For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts:

    Jakob Abrahamsson, director of distribution and acquisition, Nonstop Entertainment; Rikke Ennis, CEO, TrustNordisk; Annika Gustafson, Executive Director, Boost Hbg; Michelle Kass, film and literary agent, Michelle Kass Associates; Petri Kemppinen, CEO, Nordisk Film och TV Fond; Keri Lewis Brown, managing director, K7 Media; Jonathan Olsberg, Chairman,

    Olsberg SPI; Liz Rosenthal, CEO, Power to the Pixel.At the accompanying seminar, the issues raised in it were discussed further by lecturers and panelists Liz Rosenthal, JonathanOlsberg, Michelle Kass, Jonas Allen (producer, Misofilm), Stefan Borgquist (manager TV, Content and VAS, TeliaSonera Sverige), Göran Danasten (project manager, SVT) and Martina Ternström (Head of Acquisitions for Northern Europe, Koch Media).

     

  9. 2014 Nostradamus Report

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    Download the Nostradamus report 2014 

    The 2014 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and Nordisk Film och TV Fond and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 31st, 2014.

    Thought leaders interviewed for the first report included: Malte Andreasson, United Screens; Cecilia Beck-Friis, TV4; Göran Danasten, HBO Nordic; Sami Kallinen, YLE; Hanne Palmqvist, SVT; and Martina Ternström, Independent Acquisitions & Distribution consultant.

    At the accompanying seminar, the issues raised in it were discussed further by lecturers and panelists including consultants Bengt Toll and Jonathan Olsberg, audience researcher Jacob Bjur, Rikke Ennis of TrustNordisk, Michael Gubbins of Sampomedia, Jonathan Marlow of Fandor; Jérôme Paillard of the Cannes Film Market and Åsa Sjöberg of TV4; Bengt Toll, consultant.

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