Nostradamus is a multiyear international initiative to document and analyse industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!
How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?
The screen media are changing fast.
With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.
The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.
We have published eight annual Nostradamus Reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here. In addition, we organize international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, Berlinale, too mention a few.
Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Ghent to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance, the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 9th annual Nostradamus Report ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry” was released on 23 May 2022. Click here to read it!
Author and media analyst: Johanna Koljonen
Editorial team: Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård, Johanna Koljonen
Editorial advisors: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson
The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with Lead Partner Film i Väst and with additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen, Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.
Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus author, johanna.koljonen@participation.design
General Information: industry@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Göteborg Film Festival’s 9th Nostradamus Report, ”Imagining a Sustainable Industry”, was presented today May 23 at the Marché du Film in Cannes. The annual report looks into the near future of the audiovisual industries through research and interviews with industry experts.
Rewatch the presentation and panel here
How can we build a long-term sustainable industry, taking into consideration financial, social as well as environmental perspectives? How do we create qualitative content that is relevant for broad audiences while also guaranteeing durable artistic and independent structures? What would it take to get there?
This year’s Nostradamus Report paints a picture of the current industry landscape and its challenges, outlining a set of directions on where we could be heading, as an industry but also as a society.
In the 2022 report we have a particular spotlight on Europe. As the global streaming giants are settling their positions, the unprecedented growth in production and capital has strongly challenged the European models across the board. The future role of public audiovisual investments and the independence of the European sector is under development, while also facing an increased volatility in the global economy and a geopolitical crisis in Europe.
The report also highlights the urgent issue of industry health, and discusses how transforming working conditions across the industry should offer financial, artistic, and efficiency benefits directly.
”Our track record has always been surprisingly good, but in this ninth year of the report, the uncertain political and economic situations have finally made firm predictions impossible. Instead the report identifies tensions and pivot points where the outcomes will be determined in the next few years through choices made by stakeholders all across the value chain. We all have an opportunity now to truly affect which future we want for the industry”, says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.
The 2022 Nostradamus Report is built around interviews with the following experts:
Bero Beyer, CEO of the Netherlands Film Fund.
Christian Bräuer, Managing Director Yorck Kino Gruppe, and President of CICAE, the International Confederation of Arthouse Cinemas.
Michael Gubbins, Consultant and journalist, SampoMedia Johannes Jensen, Head of Scripted, Banijay Nordic.
Julie-Jeanne Régnault, Secretary-General of European Film Agency Directors Association (EFAD).
Evan Shapiro, Producer, Media Studies professor at NYU and Fordham U, and unofficial cartographer of the Media Universe. Josefine Tengblad, Founder and producer, Nordic Drama Queens.
Kjartan Þór Þórðarson, CEO and executive producer, Sagafilm Nordic.
Film i Väst’s Berlinale seminar asks how industry stays afloat during ‘global production deluge’ Check out the full summary of the Berlinale seminar by moderator Wendy Mitchell and take part in the report ”Drowning in Numbers” by Olsberg SPI. The unprecedented investment in content production is creating a wealth of new opportunities and challenges across […]
The presentation of the 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – January 31 at Nordic Film Market was followed by a panel on the future of gender parity. The panel themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” was held in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision. Panel: Iram Haq, […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented January 31 at a seminar during Nordic Film Market 2020. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. Listen to the presentation at K-play below! The report holds […]
In a high-energy session, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus will make a guest performance at EFM Horizon, European Film Market’s hub dedicated to the transformation of the film and media sectors. In a presentation of the newly released 7th report ”A Creative Explosion”, media analyst and writer Johanna Koljonen offers a deep but high-paced look into […]
Drowning in numbers – or how to stay afloat in the current global production deluge Against a backdrop of the most current facts and figures of the changing film and TV landscape, Film i Väst, in cooperation with the Nostradamus project, presents a future-oriented seminar with key experts from the industry. There is currently an […]
Göteborg Film Festival’s 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented February 2, 2018. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. Johanna Koljonen presented the […]
This discussion from the February 2017 International Seminar delves into how the structural changes of the screen industries will impact the creative output. Participants: Roberto Olla, Executive Director, Eurimages; Rikke Ennis, CEO TrustNordisk; Mattias Nohrborg, Executive Producer B-Reel Films; and Charlotte Sieling, director.
The editor of the Nostradamus Project, media analyst Johanna Koljonen, gives an updated version of her much-appreciated lecture at the Marché du Film. After a decade of changes, challenges and trends rocking the industry, what everyone working in film needs to do next can be boiled down to five very simple pieces of advice. Liberated […]
As predicted by the Nostradamus Project, we have seen a radical growth of VR storytelling in the last year, and a continuing normalisation of multi-platform narratives in mainstream entertainment. What are the challenges and storytelling opportunities offered for the film industry by these changes? Games and storytelling innovator Carl Heath and scriptwriting legend Linda Aronson […]
The publicly funded arts are in peril, a handful of streaming behemoths will dominate home entertainment, and cinemas reorient themselves – it’s time to reboot the industry conversation. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents the 6th annual report of the Nostradamus Project, which monitors and analyses the rapid changes in the screen industries. The presentation is […]
Nostradamus på Audiovisual Days 18 oktober Den 18 oktober bjuder Göteborg Film Festival på en fullspäckad förmiddag under årets upplaga av Lindholmen Science Parks Audiovisual Days. En försmak av årets festivalupplaga, Johanna Koljonen presenterar en uppdaterad key-note av den femte Nostradamus-rapporten följt av ett samtal där vår expertpanel ger sin syn på framtiden för TV […]
On October 8 during Flander Image’s high-end platform CONNeXT, Göteborg Film Festival will make an updated presentation of the 2018 Nostradamus report Do or Die? – a Moment of Truth for European Film followed by a lively panel on the most worrying and exciting challanges and opportunities within the audiovisual industry in the near future. […]
Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018 What’s the next vision for European cinema? How can Blockchain technology change the industry across the value chain? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on May 11! Do or Die – a Moment of Truth for European Film 10.00 – 10.45 NEXT conference room – Palais des festivals. A […]
Biopalatset 9, February 2 at 16.00 Open for all accredited guests Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents the 5th annual report of the Nostradamus Project, which monitors and analyses the rapid changes in the screen industries. The presentation is followed by a discussion with invited experts. The next five years will decide whether the film industry […]
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