43:e festivalen 24 jan - 3 feb, 2020
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Industry

Nostradamus

A multiyear international initiative to document and analyze industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!

43:e festivalen
24 Jan -
3 Feb, 2020

"A Creative Explosion" - Nostradamus at EFM Horizon

In a high-energy session, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus will make a guest performance at EFM Horizon, European Film Market’s hub dedicated to the transformation of the film and media sectors. In a presentation of the newly released 7th report ”A Creative Explosion”, media analyst and writer Johanna Koljonen offers a deep but high-paced look into […]

Berlin seminar: Drowning in numbers

Drowning in numbers – or how to stay afloat in the current global production deluge Against a backdrop of the most current facts and figures of the changing film and TV landscape, Film i Väst, in cooperation with the Nostradamus project, presents a future-oriented seminar with key experts from the industry. 
There is currently an […]

Göteborg Film Festival presents the 7th Nostradamus report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented today at a seminar at Nordic Film Market. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. Nostradamus Report: A Creative Explosion can be downloaded here   The report […]

Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50

Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50 The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion January 31 the 7th Nostradamus report from Göteborg Film Festival will be presented by media analyst and author Johanna Koljonen, followed by a panel focusing on the future of gender parity, diversity and inclusion. Numerous programmes championing and debating gender equality, diversity and […]

2020 Nostradamus interviewees

We are very proud to announce the 10 interviewees for the 7th Nostradamus report including Alex Mahon (Channel 4 CEO), Philip Knatchbull (CEO Curzon Cinemas) and Lars Blomgren (Endemol Shine Group’s Executive Producer and Head of Scripted EMEA). The annual international Nostradamus report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now […]

"A Creative Explosion" – 2020 Nostradamus report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented January 31 at a seminar during Nordic Film Market. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts.

The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the industry will next need to address the more complex pipeline problems affecting diverse recruitment.

Other themes discussed in the report are the consequences of the escalating streaming wars, alternative release patterns taking shape, and how the capacity issues caused by extreme demand on scripted content threaten quality. Streamers are also putting pressure on the traditional role of the producer, which may challenge cultural diversity down the line, especially as consolidations continue. Access to data analysis will be of increasing importance across roles in the industry.

Finally, the report discusses how emerging technologies – VR, deep fakes, game engines, etc – is causing fundamental changes in how audiovisual storytelling is produced and understood, with inevitable ripple effects on how audiences perceive the formats and platforms of film and TV as well.

The 2020 Nostradamus report interviewees are:

Lars Blomgren, Executive Producer and Head of Scripted EMEA, Endemol Shine Group
Anna Croneman, Head of Drama, SVT
Leon Forde, Managing Director, Olsberg SPI
Stine Helgeland, Head of Department Communications, Strategic Insight and International Relations, Norwegian Film Institute
Philip Knatchbull, CEO, Curzon Cinemas
Alexandra Lebret, Managing Director, European Producer’s Club
Fabio Lima, Founder & CEO, Sofa Digital
Alex Mahon, CEO, Channel 4
Susanna Snell, Head of Audience Insight, YLE
Bérénice Vincent, Co-founder Collectif 50/50 and sales agent, Totem Film

Following the presentation of the report, a panel discussion themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision was presented. Panel: Iram Haq, director (What will people say?, I Am Yours), Norway; Anna Serner, CEO, Swedish Film Institute, Sweden; Bérénice Vincent, Co-founder of Collectif 50/50, and co-founder, Totem Film, France; and Rhys Ernst, director/producer (Adam, Transparent) United States.
Moderated by Johanna Koljonen, media analyst and author of the Nostradamus report.

The filmed seminar is be available to watch at Kulturakademin’s K-play.

Nostradamus Report: A Creative Explosion can be downloaded here  

Editorial team: Johanna Koljonen, Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård

Editorial Advisory Board: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson

The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with the project’s new main contributor Film i Väst. With additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen,Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.

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Looking ahead

How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?

The screen media are changing fast.

With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.

The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.

We have published five annual Nostradamus reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here; because of the scope, at least the last two tend to be up-to-date. In addition, we organise international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, and with a more Nordic focus during Audiovisual Days.

Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Berlin to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 6th annual Nostradamus report was released on Feb 1, 2019. Click here to read it! 

The 7th Nostradamus report will be released during Nordic Film Market January 31, 2020. 

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Contact information

Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus editor, johanna.koljonen@participation.design General Informationindustry@goteborgfilmfestival.se

Nostradamus AI session at Audiovisual Days 2019

Re-experience Nostradamus future oriented AI session at Audiovisual Days November 14 2019 in Göteborg. Johanna Koljonen the analyst and writer of the Nostradamus reports gave an updated key-note of the sixth report ”Relevance in a New Reality” followed by an expert panel on AI with Michiel Ruelens, CTO at Scriptbook, that has developed an AI […]

Panel: Relevance in a New Reality

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Presentation of the 6th Nostradamus report

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Nostradamus at Audiovisual Days

Nostradamus at Audiovisual Days October 18 Welcome to an updated presentation of the 2018 Nostradamus report Do or Die? – a Moment of Truth for European Film followed by a panel of experts discussing the future content of TV Drama and more at Lindholmen Science Park’s Audiovisual Days. 09.30 – 09.40 Presentation: A foretaste of the 42nd […]

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018 What’s the next vision for European cinema? How can Blockchain technology change the industry across the value chain? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on May 11! Do or Die – a Moment of Truth for European Film 10.00 – 10.45 NEXT conference room – Palais des festivals. A […]

"A Creative Explosion" - Nostradamus at EFM Horizon

In a high-energy session, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus will make a guest performance at EFM Horizon, European Film Market’s hub dedicated to the transformation of the film and media sectors. In a presentation of the newly released 7th report ”A Creative Explosion”, media analyst and writer Johanna Koljonen offers a deep but high-paced look into […]

Berlin seminar: Drowning in numbers

Drowning in numbers – or how to stay afloat in the current global production deluge Against a backdrop of the most current facts and figures of the changing film and TV landscape, Film i Väst, in cooperation with the Nostradamus project, presents a future-oriented seminar with key experts from the industry. 
There is currently an […]

Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50

Nostradamus panel – Beyond 50/50 The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion January 31 the 7th Nostradamus report from Göteborg Film Festival will be presented by media analyst and author Johanna Koljonen, followed by a panel focusing on the future of gender parity, diversity and inclusion. Numerous programmes championing and debating gender equality, diversity and […]

Nostradamus returns to Marché du Film's NEXT

Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returns to Cannes, bringing news and insights on the near future of the screen industries. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents an updated version of the 2019 report “Relevance in a New Reality” and host a visionary on-stage interview with MUBI’s Efe Cakarel. This years the Nostradamus sessions are presented for […]

2019 Nostradamus report - our annual look towards the future

The publicly funded arts are in peril, a handful of streaming behemoths will dominate home entertainment, and cinemas reorient themselves – it’s time to reboot the industry conversation. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents the 6th annual report of the Nostradamus Project, which monitors and analyses the rapid changes in the screen industries. The presentation is […]

2020 Nostradamus report

Download the 7th Nostradamus report here   The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the industry will next […]

2019 Nostradamus report

The 2019 Nostradamus report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges. Read the Nostradamus report 2019 here […]

2018 Nostradamus Report

During Göteborg Film Festival 2018 the 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. The Nostradamus Project […]

2017 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2017  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, who have given very generously of their time and thoughts: Bobby Allen, VP of Content, MUBI; Catharine Des Forges, Director, Independent Cinema Office; Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, FilmVäst; Domenico La Porta, Director, R/O Institute; Joëlle Levie, Director of Operations, […]

2016 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2016  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer International […]

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