43:e festivalen 24 jan - 3 feb, 2020
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Nostradamus

Nostradamus is a multiyear international initiative to document and analyse industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!

43:e festivalen
24 Jan -
3 Feb, 2020

Nostradamus: Global threats, new giants and AI as a creative tool

On November 14 Göteborg Film Festival invites you to a future oriented morning during Audiovisual Days! Johanna Koljonen gives an updated key-note of the sixth Nostradamus report ”Relevance in a New Reality” followed by an expert panel on AI in the audiovisual industries, now and in a near future. 09:00 – 09:45 Breakfast with a […]

Nostradamus returns to Marché du Film's NEXT

Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returns to Cannes, bringing news and insights on the near future of the screen industries. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents an updated version of the 2019 report ”Relevance in a New Reality” and host a visionary on-stage interview with MUBI’s Efe Cakarel. This years the Nostradamus sessions are presented for […]

Presentation of the 6th Nostradamus report

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

2019 Nostradamus report

The 2019 Nostradamus report, ”Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges. Read the Nostradamus report 2019 here […]

Nostradamus at Audiovisual Days

Nostradamus på Audiovisual Days 18 oktober Den 18 oktober bjuder Göteborg Film Festival på en fullspäckad förmiddag under årets upplaga av Lindholmen Science Parks Audiovisual Days. En försmak av årets festivalupplaga, Johanna Koljonen presenterar en uppdaterad key-note av den femte Nostradamus-rapporten följt av ett samtal där vår expertpanel ger sin syn på framtiden för TV […]

2019 Nostradamus report - Relevance in a New Reality

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – ”Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts.

This year’s report, ”Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges.

Johanna Koljonen, author of the report, said:
”We’ve talked about ’structural change’ for a while now. In the next three to five years, a sector where we will see what the new structures look like in practice is the streaming market. It will be dominated by a handful of tech companies and consolidated majors and how this affects smaller languages and local players is not certain. The big players keeping their content exclusive to themselves might create new opportunities for others. But the question everyone will have to find answers to is how do you compete when there is always competition that can outrun you, outspend you, and produces content of a very high quality? Only with relevance.”

”Unprompted, all of the interviewees in this year’s report raised questions of meaning, values, purpose or sustainability. We’re moving towards a time when public funding is more important than ever, but also likely to decrease. The European industry will need to find ways to prioritise, and get better at communicating to lawmakers and citizens why what we do is vital.” says Johanna Koljonen, author of the Nostradamus Report.

This year’s interview subjects were: Efe Cakarel/ Founder and CEO MUBI, Thomas Gammeltoft/ CEO Copenhagen Film Fund, Ani Korpela/ Director and Head of Content and Application Business Elisa, Ben Luxford/ Head of Audience BFI, Glenn O’Farrell/ CEO GroupeMédia TFO, Liz Rosenthal/ Programmer Venice VR and Founder of Power to the Pixel, Sten Saluveer/ Founder and CEO Storytek, Åsa Sjöberg/ Director of Content Bonnier Broadcasting, Maria Tanjala/ Co-Founder Big Couch and Film Chain.

The presentation of the 6th report at Göteborg Film Festival February 1 was followed by a discussion with Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, Film i Väst; Maria Tanjala, Co-Founder, Big Couch and Film Chain; and Glenn O’Farrell, CEO, GroupeMédia TFO. The Nostradamus Project is run by Göteborg Film Festival and aims to sketch out the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now, through interviews with industry experts and research.

The annual report is written by Johanna Koljonen. Editorial board: Cia Edström, Åsa Garnert, Johanna Koljonen, Josef Kullengård.

 

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Looking ahead

How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?

The screen media are changing fast.

With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.

The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.

We have published five annual Nostradamus reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here; because of the scope, at least the last two tend to be up-to-date. In addition, we organise international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, and with a more Nordic focus during Audiovisual Days.

Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Berlin to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 6th annual Nostradamus report was released on Feb 1, 2019. Click here to read it! 

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Contact information

Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus editor, johanna.koljonen@participation.design General Informationindustry@goteborgfilmfestival.se

Presentation of the 6th Nostradamus report

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Panel: Relevance in a New Reality

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Nostradamus at Audiovisual Days

Nostradamus på Audiovisual Days 18 oktober Den 18 oktober bjuder Göteborg Film Festival på en fullspäckad förmiddag under årets upplaga av Lindholmen Science Parks Audiovisual Days. En försmak av årets festivalupplaga, Johanna Koljonen presenterar en uppdaterad key-note av den femte Nostradamus-rapporten följt av ett samtal där vår expertpanel ger sin syn på framtiden för TV […]

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018 What’s the next vision for European cinema? How can Blockchain technology change the industry across the value chain? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on May 11!  Do or Die – a Moment of Truth for European Film 10.00 – 10.45 NEXT conference room – Palais des festivals. A […]

Do or Die? 5th Nostradamus Report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented February 2, 2018. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. Johanna Koljonen presented the […]

Nostradamus returns to Marché du Film's NEXT

Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returns to Cannes, bringing news and insights on the near future of the screen industries. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents an updated version of the 2019 report ”Relevance in a New Reality” and host a visionary on-stage interview with MUBI’s Efe Cakarel. This years the Nostradamus sessions are presented for […]

2019 Nostradamus report - our annual look towards the future

The publicly funded arts are in peril, a handful of streaming behemoths will dominate home entertainment, and cinemas reorient themselves – it’s time to reboot the industry conversation. Media analyst Johanna Koljonen presents the 6th annual report of the Nostradamus Project, which monitors and analyses the rapid changes in the screen industries. The presentation is […]

Nostradamus at Audiovisual Days

Nostradamus på Audiovisual Days 18 oktober Den 18 oktober bjuder Göteborg Film Festival på en fullspäckad förmiddag under årets upplaga av Lindholmen Science Parks Audiovisual Days. En försmak av årets festivalupplaga, Johanna Koljonen presenterar en uppdaterad key-note av den femte Nostradamus-rapporten följt av ett samtal där vår expertpanel ger sin syn på framtiden för TV […]

Facing the Future at CONNeXT

On October 8 during Flander Image’s high-end platform CONNeXT, Göteborg Film Festival will make an updated presentation of the 2018 Nostradamus report Do or Die? – a Moment of Truth for European Film followed by a lively panel on the most worrying and exciting challanges and opportunities within the audiovisual industry in the near future. […]

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018

Nostradamus seminars in Cannes 2018 What’s the next vision for European cinema? How can Blockchain technology change the industry across the value chain? Answers in our informative and passionate sessions on May 11!  Do or Die – a Moment of Truth for European Film 10.00 – 10.45 NEXT conference room – Palais des festivals. A […]

2019 Nostradamus report

The 2019 Nostradamus report, ”Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges. Read the Nostradamus report 2019 here […]

2018 Nostradamus Report

During Göteborg Film Festival 2018 the 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. The Nostradamus Project […]

2017 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2017  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, who have given very generously of their time and thoughts: Bobby Allen, VP of Content, MUBI; Catharine Des Forges, Director, Independent Cinema Office; Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, FilmVäst; Domenico La Porta, Director, R/O Institute; Joëlle Levie, Director of Operations, […]

2016 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2016  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer International […]

2015 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2015  The 2015 Nostradamus Report was produced by the Göteborg Film Festival/ Nordic Film Market with the support of Lindholmen Science Park and released at the Nostradamus seminar on January 29th, 2015. For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Jakob Abrahamsson, […]

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