44:e festivalen 29 jan - 8 feb, 2021
Visitor
Industry

Nostradamus

A multiyear international initiative to document and analyze industry changes and make projections for the future. Take part of the reports, seminars and news of the Nostradamus project here!

43:e festivalen
24 Jan -
3 Feb, 2020

Watch the Nostradamus session from Cannes NEXT

Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal On June 25, 2020, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returned to Cannes NEXT at the Marché du Film Online in a dynamic session on the near future of the industry in the light of the COVID-19 crisis. In an ambitious three-part seminar broadcast from Göteborg’s […]

Article: The Pandemic and The Cinema

On June 25 Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, presenting the three parted session “Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal” hosted by media analyst Johanna Koljonen of the Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus report. In conjuction to tomorrow’s session Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy at Film i Väst who […]

Nostradamus at Cannes NEXT Marché du Film Online 2020

Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, this year exploring how to build a better normal for the industry in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. The session will be presented June 25 in collaboration with Film i Väst and Cannes NEXT Marché […]

Read the summary of the Berlinale seminar "Drowning in Numbers"

Film i Väst’s Berlinale seminar asks how industry stays afloat during ‘global production deluge’ Check out the full summary of the Berlinale seminar by moderator Wendy Mitchell and take part in the report ”Drowning in Numbers” by Olsberg SPI. The unprecedented investment in content production is creating a wealth of new opportunities and challenges across […]

Beyond 50/50: The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion

The presentation of the 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – January 31 at Nordic Film Market was followed by a panel on the future of gender parity. The panel themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” was held in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision. Panel: Iram Haq, […]

"A Creative Explosion" – 2020 Nostradamus report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented January 31 at a seminar during Nordic Film Market. The annual report, written by media analyst Johanna Koljonen, looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts.

The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the industry will next need to address the more complex pipeline problems affecting diverse recruitment.

Other themes discussed in the report are the consequences of the escalating streaming wars, alternative release patterns taking shape, and how the capacity issues caused by extreme demand on scripted content threaten quality. Streamers are also putting pressure on the traditional role of the producer, which may challenge cultural diversity down the line, especially as consolidations continue. Access to data analysis will be of increasing importance across roles in the industry.

Finally, the report discusses how emerging technologies – VR, deep fakes, game engines, etc – is causing fundamental changes in how audiovisual storytelling is produced and understood, with inevitable ripple effects on how audiences perceive the formats and platforms of film and TV as well.

The 2020 Nostradamus report interviewees are:

Lars Blomgren, Executive Producer and Head of Scripted EMEA, Endemol Shine Group
Anna Croneman, Head of Drama, SVT
Leon Forde, Managing Director, Olsberg SPI
Stine Helgeland, Head of Department Communications, Strategic Insight and International Relations, Norwegian Film Institute
Philip Knatchbull, CEO, Curzon Cinemas
Alexandra Lebret, Managing Director, European Producer’s Club
Fabio Lima, Founder & CEO, Sofa Digital
Alex Mahon, CEO, Channel 4
Susanna Snell, Head of Audience Insight, YLE
Bérénice Vincent, Co-founder Collectif 50/50 and sales agent, Totem Film

Following the presentation of the report, a panel discussion themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision was presented. Panel: Iram Haq, director (What will people say?, I Am Yours), Norway; Anna Serner, CEO, Swedish Film Institute, Sweden; Bérénice Vincent, Co-founder of Collectif 50/50, and co-founder, Totem Film, France; and Rhys Ernst, director/producer (Adam, Transparent) United States.
Moderated by Johanna Koljonen, media analyst and author of the Nostradamus report.

The report presentation and panel are available to watch at Kulturakademin’s K-play.

Nostradamus Report: A Creative Explosion can be downloaded here  

Editorial team: Johanna Koljonen, Cia Edström, Josef Kullengård

Editorial Advisory Board: Åsa Garnert, Tomas Eskilsson

The Nostradamus Project is founded and run by Göteborg Film Festival with support from and in collaboration with the project’s new main contributor Film i Väst. With additional support from Nordisk Film & TV Fond, Västra Götalandsregionen,Creative Europe/MEDIA and Kulturakademin.

Presented by
Support

Looking ahead

How are the screen industries changing in the next 3-5 years?

The screen media are changing fast.

With production, distribution and consumption almost entirely digital, business models, audience behaviour and funding systems are in flux. New opportunities arise and old ways of thinking fall by the wayside, while the purpose of film remains the same. Regardless of format and platform, it is still all about moving the audience: sharing, entertaining, challenging, moving, uplifting.

The Nostradamus Project has as its mission to document and predict these changes on a 3-5 year horizon, and to present analysis in a manner that is equally comprehensible to producers and policymakers, stars and students. We do this through interviews with change-makers and people in strategic positions in the industry about what they are doing and creating today. Context is provided by the excellent research and journalism that is publicly available, but which you may be too busy to close read.

We have published five annual Nostradamus reports, on topics ranging from audience expectations to ad-blocking, from distribution to diversity, and from holdback windows to VR. The reports are free to download here; because of the scope, at least the last two tend to be up-to-date. In addition, we organize international seminars in Göteborg during the Nordic Film Market and in Cannes at the Marché du Film, Berlinale, too mention a few.

Nostradamus Project analysis has also been presented at film markets from Ghent to Rio, to film funds, and at meetings of for instance the EFADs Think Tank and the EFARN. The 7th annual Nostradamus report “A Creative Explosion” was released on Jan 31, 2020. Click here to read it! 

The 8th Nostradamus report will be released during Nordic Film Market February 4, 2021. 

Project presented by

Support

 


Contact information

Cia Edström, Head of Nordic Film Market and Nostradamus, cia.edstrom@goteborgfilmfestival.se
Johanna Koljonen, Nostradamus editor, johanna.koljonen@participation.design
General Informationindustry@goteborgfilmfestival.se

Watch the Nostradamus session from Cannes NEXT

Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal On June 25, 2020, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returned to Cannes NEXT at the Marché du Film Online in a dynamic session on the near future of the industry in the light of the COVID-19 crisis. In an ambitious three-part seminar broadcast from Göteborg’s […]

Beyond 50/50: The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion

The presentation of the 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – January 31 at Nordic Film Market was followed by a panel on the future of gender parity. The panel themed “The Future of Gender Parity and Inclusion” was held in connection to Göteborg Film Festival’s gender parity initiative 50/50 Vision. Panel: Iram Haq, […]

Release of the 7th Nostradamus report

Göteborg Film Festival’s 7th Nostradamus Report – “A Creative Explosion” – was presented January 31 at a seminar during Nordic Film Market. The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. Listen to the presentation at K-play below! The report holds forth […]

Nostradamus AI session at Audiovisual Days 2019

Re-experience Nostradamus future oriented AI session at Audiovisual Days November 14 2019 in Göteborg. Johanna Koljonen the analyst and writer of the Nostradamus reports gave an updated key-note of the sixth report ”Relevance in a New Reality” followed by an expert panel on AI with Michiel Ruelens, CTO at Scriptbook, that has developed an AI […]

Panel: Relevance in a New Reality

The Göteborg Film Festival’s 6th Nostradamus Report – “Relevance in a New Reality” is here! The annual report looks into the future of the screen industries 3-5 years from now through research and interviews with industry experts. This year’s report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on […]

Watch the Nostradamus session from Cannes NEXT

Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal On June 25, 2020, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus project returned to Cannes NEXT at the Marché du Film Online in a dynamic session on the near future of the industry in the light of the COVID-19 crisis. In an ambitious three-part seminar broadcast from Göteborg’s […]

Nostradamus at Cannes NEXT Marché du Film Online 2020

Making Choices: How to Build for a Better New Normal Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus initiative returns to Cannes NEXT, this year exploring how to build a better normal for the industry in the wake of the Covid-19 pandemic. The session will be presented June 25 in collaboration with Film i Väst and Cannes NEXT Marché […]

Read the summary of the Berlinale seminar "Drowning in Numbers"

Film i Väst’s Berlinale seminar asks how industry stays afloat during ‘global production deluge’ Check out the full summary of the Berlinale seminar by moderator Wendy Mitchell and take part in the report ”Drowning in Numbers” by Olsberg SPI. The unprecedented investment in content production is creating a wealth of new opportunities and challenges across […]

"A Creative Explosion" - Nostradamus at EFM Horizon

In a high-energy session, Göteborg Film Festival’s Nostradamus will make a guest performance at EFM Horizon, European Film Market’s hub dedicated to the transformation of the film and media sectors. In a presentation of the newly released 7th report ”A Creative Explosion”, media analyst and writer Johanna Koljonen offers a deep but high-paced look into […]

Berlin seminar: Drowning in numbers

Drowning in numbers – or how to stay afloat in the current global production deluge Against a backdrop of the most current facts and figures of the changing film and TV landscape, Film i Väst, in cooperation with the Nostradamus project, presents a future-oriented seminar with key experts from the industry. 
There is currently an […]

2020 Nostradamus report

Nostradamus Report: A Creative Explosion can be downloaded here   The report holds forth a near future where high quality, creativity and scripted content is king. A new wave of artistically outstanding feature filmmakers will offer opportunities for arthouse cinema to connect with younger audiences. Demand for gender and cultural diversification will continue, and the […]

2019 Nostradamus report

The 2019 Nostradamus report, “Relevance in a New Reality”, discusses the uncertain future of public funding, major movements on the streaming market, the role of cinema in the new value chain, potential paths forward for VR, and the need for a rebooted industry conversation around tech and shared challenges. Read the Nostradamus report 2019 here […]

2018 Nostradamus Report

During Göteborg Film Festival 2018 the 5th Nostradamus Report – titled Do or Die? – was presented. It takes on the topics of whether the film industry as we know it will survive, and what European film makers, financiers and exhibitors need to do to compete with the global majors and remain a cultural force. The Nostradamus Project […]

2017 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2017  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, who have given very generously of their time and thoughts: Bobby Allen, VP of Content, MUBI; Catharine Des Forges, Director, Independent Cinema Office; Tomas Eskilsson, Head of Strategy, FilmVäst; Domenico La Porta, Director, R/O Institute; Joëlle Levie, Director of Operations, […]

2016 Nostradamus Report

Download the Nostradamus report 2016  For this year’s report, we have interviewed the following experts, enormously generous with their time and thoughts: Carsten Andreasen (Head of Market Insights for Northern Europe, Google/YouTube), Julie Bergeron, (Head of Industry Programs, Marché du Film in Cannes), Stefan Borgquist (Head of TV, TeliaSonera Sverige), Liselott Forsman (Executive Producer International […]

Get our newsletter

We will never share your email address and you can opt out at any time, we promise

Thank you!
Something went wrong, please check that you provided a working e-mail address.